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Thursday, February 1, 2024

Govt’s fiscal consolidation plan to aid private sector, boost capex revival - Moneycontrol

Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman

Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman

The 2024 Interim budget is based on the robust framework of “Viksit Bharat by 2047.” Driving this growth are the four key pillars - youth, power, women, and farmers. With a vision of creating opportunities for all, the government has implemented several initiatives that enable a smooth roadmap for ‘Amrit Kaal.’

The government remains committed to its resolve of bringing the fiscal deficit below 4.5% of GDP by FY26. By that, the fiscal deficit target for FY25 has been set at 5.1%, while that for FY24 has been revised down from 5.9% to 5.8%. A lower fiscal deficit is a precursor to ensuring financial stability and facilitating adequate liquidity for the private sector. At a time when private capex is expected to revive, the government’s commitment to cut its expenses will bode well for the cost of borrowing from the private sector.

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A lower revenue gap will also help strengthen India’s sovereign rating, which is currently at the lowest investment grade of BBB. A positive outlook and perhaps a rating upgrade at this juncture will give a significant boost to India’s growth potential, as it will unleash a stronger inflow of foreign capital.

The government’s initiatives to boost the development of MSMEs and enhance their global competitiveness are commendable. By facilitating increased access to finance, relevant technology as well as training along with the establishment of a supportive regulatory framework, the government’s policies reflect positive strides.

NBFCs can play an integral role in extending loans to MSMEs owing to their prowess in the efficient delivery of credit to the smallest and remotest businesses. Technological interventions like India Stack, coupled with the expertise of NBFCs across segments not considered viable by banks, will enable not only higher but better-quality financial inclusion. This approach will enable a more robust and inclusive landscape for MSMEs, enabling them to create more jobs and help India’s assimilation with global supply chains.

At the core of this interim budget lies a commitment to inclusive development and the improvement of people’s well-being. The government is supporting states in expediting the development of aspirational districts and blocks, fostering abundant opportunities.

Piramal Foundation’s vision aligns with government objectives, and our Aspirational Bharat Collaborative initiative signifies a renewed dedication. This initiative focuses on partnering with District Administrations to enable Last Mile Convergence and promote Hyper-Local Collaboration. With 1,100 team members deployed across 227 Aspirational Blocks in 150 districts, we play an active role in the nation’s advancement. We also applaud the government’s commitment to encouraging the youth of the country, demonstrated by initiatives like the Skill India Mission and the provision of 50–year interest-free loans for technological advancements among the tech-savvy.

Our collective efforts align with this vision, recognizing the government’s emphasis on skilling the youth as a pivotal step towards nurturing talent and building a dynamic workforce. In tandem with these national initiatives, our focus on youth development is reflected in programs such as the Gandhi Fellowship and Karuna Fellowship, which channel the power of young change agents.

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This budget lays the groundwork for increased momentum by introducing forward-looking measures across key development sectors like infrastructure, MSMEs, finance, agriculture, and energy. These steps affirm the commitment to shaping an inclusive future for everyone.

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Govt’s fiscal consolidation plan to aid private sector, boost capex revival - Moneycontrol
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Warren Buffett's Berkshire exited Paytm 2 months before RBI curbs - Hindustan Times

Feb 01, 2024 05:50 PM IST

Berkshire Hathaway sold 2.5 per cent of equity worth nearly ₹1,370 crore at a share price of ₹877.29 in November last year.

Two months before the Reserve Bank of India or RBI on Wednesday ordered Paytm Payments Bank to stop accepting fresh deposits in its accounts or popular digital wallets from March, Warren Buffett-owned Berkshire Hathaway sold its entire stake in One97 Communications Ltd, the parent company of fintech major Paytm, in a large block deal in November.

Warren Buffett had picked up a 2.6 per cent stake in Paytm in 2018
Warren Buffett had picked up a 2.6 per cent stake in Paytm in 2018

On Thursday, Paytm, an Indian digital payments firm founded by Vijay Shekhar Sharma, lost a fifth of its market value after the RBI ordered Paytm Payments Bank to stop accepting fresh deposits in its accounts or popular digital wallets after February 29, raising worries over revenues from the company's main payments business.

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The RBI's order could be a precursor to cancelling the bank's license, a person familiar with the matter told news agency Reuters.

Paytm counts Japan's SoftBank and China's Ant Financial among its early investors. Over the past year, SoftBank has reduced its Paytm stake, while Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway and China's Alibaba Group have exited the company.

Berkshire Hathaway sold 2.5 per cent of equity worth nearly 1,370 crore at a share price of 877.29. Buffett had picked up a 2.6 per cent stake in Paytm in 2018, investing nearly 2,200 crore. During the Paytm IPO, Berkshire Hathaway sold shares worth 220 crore.

The action against Paytm Payments Bank followed years of non-compliance with central bank rules, including on customer due diligence, use of funds and technology infrastructure, the source said.

Paytm's stock fell to a six-week low of 609 rupees, erasing around $1.2 billion in value from the company also known as One 97 Communications. The stock was down 20%, at the bottom of an exchange-imposed trading band, marking its worst day since listing in 2021.

The bank, which houses all of Paytm's 330 million wallet accounts, is important to the company's app and wallet eco-system, which could be hit if Paytm cannot find banking partners to replace its payments bank.

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Warren Buffett's Berkshire exited Paytm 2 months before RBI curbs - Hindustan Times
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Stock gainers, losers after interim Budget 2024 - Moneycontrol

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Markets ended down on February 1. Sensex fell 107 points while the Nifty came off 28 points

Highlights


  • Bank profitability to get support

  • Focus on green energy & electronics

  • Travel & luggage companies to benefit

  • Measures augur well for capex-linked and R&D firms

  • China-plus-one firms are not amused

The interim budget for 2024, while devoid of major tax changes, did throw up its set of winners and losers although the winners far outnumber the losers.

Fiscal discipline and lower government borrowing to support profitability of banks.

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Adhering to the target of attaining a fiscal deficit of 4.5 percent by FY26, the Union budget has targeted a reduction in the Central Government’s fiscal deficit to 5.1 percent of GDP for FY25 from 5.8 percent of the GDP (revised estimates) in FY24. The gross and net borrowings are pegged at Rs 14.13 lakh crore and 11.75 lakh crore in FY25, lower compared to FY24.

As the supply of bonds will be lower, bonds have rallied. The rally in gilts should support non- interest incomes of banks. The mark-to-market gain from an investment portfolio will be positive at a time when interest margins are under pressure.

Kotak Mahindra Bank had the highest “Available for Sale” and “held for trading” books among banks. Hence, the bond rally is a big positive for it. Other beneficiaries to watch are SBI and ICICI Bank.

Green energy remains a key focus area

Prime Minister Narendra Modi recently announced the Pradhan Mantri Suryoday Yojana, under which rooftop solar panels will be installed at one crore households. This augurs well for Visaka Industries (integrated solar rooftop solutions provider) and Borosil Renewables (manufacturer of solar glasses).

Moreover, the focus on EV charging, renewables, and huge targets for solar installations  are positive for Tata Power.

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Electronics infra push through semiconductors

The allocations for Semiconductors, Display manufacturing, PLI (MEITY) - ESDM, IT HARD PLI have been raised. The key beneficiaries in India's electronics manufacturing push and higher budgetary outlay include Dixon Technologies, Kaynes Technology, Syrma SGS, and Optiemus Infracom.

Travel and tourism beneficiaries

The government’s focus to develop tourism spots, including islands and spiritual centres, is positive for hotel companies such as Indian Hotels, SAMHI Hotels, Lemon Tree Hotels, and Kamat Hotels and luggage companies like Safari Industries.

Beneficiaries of capex push

The overnment has increased capital expenditure allocation by 11.1 percent YoY to Rs 11.11 lakh crore. The increased allocation would sustain the growth momentum for infrastructure stocks such as L&T, HG Infra Engineering, and GR Infra Projects. The fiscal discipline and lower market borrowing should help in “crowding in” of private players. The budget is directionally supportive for interest rate reduction, which should also support the capex cycle.

KEC International has a strong presence in railways and higher capex for the development of corridors should benefit it.

Infrastructure development through the ‘PM Gati shakti’ scheme will decongest the existing rail network and improve logistics efficiencies. Multimodal logistics players such as Concor and Transport Corporation of India stand to benefit.

 Emphasis on sustainable agriculture

The focus on the use of Nano DAP and extending its application to all climate zones is a big positive. Nano fertilisers will improve crop yield with less fertiliser consumption, lighten the subsidy budget, and will cut down import requirements. Coromandel International and Paradeep Phosphates will be the big beneficiaries.

Moreover, the focus on bio-agri inputs should help Coromandel International, which is one of the largest organic fertiliser marketers in India.

Under the PM's Matsya Sampada Yojana, the government aims to double aquaculture exports and generate over 50 lakh employment opportunities. The effort to increase productivity and yield under this scheme should act as a tailwind for shrimp exporters such as Avanti Feeds and Apex Frozen Foods.

Dairy companies like Dodla Dairy and Heritage Foods are likely to benefit given the comprehensive focus on dairy development and the setting up of a dairy processing fund. Higher milk production and lower procurement prices can lead to higher margins.

The increase in MNEGRA allocation by 43 percent from the budgeted estimates of FY24 and higher spending in rural markets would generate higher income and indirectly boost consumption. Stocks to benefit are Dabur, Hindustan Unilever, and Cantabil Retail India

R&D push

Pharma, tech and defence companies should benefit from the Rs 1 lakh crore corpus to be set up for interest-free loanw to be provided for R&D in tech savvy sectors. The gainers include Syngene, Concord Biotech, Sun Pharma, Cipla, Cadila, Cipla, Neuland labs, MTAR, and Data Patterns.

 Stock losers

No change in personal income tax and duty structure is not positive for overall consumption and the China-plus-one theme sectors and stocks.

For more research articles, visit our Moneycontrol Research page

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Stock gainers, losers after interim Budget 2024 - Moneycontrol
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Live: Nirmala Sitharam Presents Interim Union Budget in Parliament - The Wire

New Delhi: Finance minister Nirmala Sitharaman presented the Narendra Modi government’s 10th Union Budget, though it is an interim one, with parliamentary elections expected in the next few months.

While this Budget is only planning for up until the elections, experts have pointed out that a pre-election interim Budget is often used to make big announcements aimed at regions and sectors that the government believes could translate into votes for the ruling party.

Through the day, we’ll be bringing you updates from Sitharaman’s speech, analyses and more. Stay tuned!

Note: The live blog may take a few seconds to load. Please don’t go away!

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Live: Nirmala Sitharam Presents Interim Union Budget in Parliament - The Wire
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Govt’s fiscal consolidation plan to aid private sector, boost capex revival - Moneycontrol

Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman The 2024 Interim budget is based on the robust framework of “Viksit Bharat by 2047.” Driving this gr...